Celtics vs. Bucks prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA playoff picks, Game 6 model’s best bets on 86-58 run

The Boston Celtics face a must-win situation in the 2022 NBA playoffs Friday night. The Celtics dropped Game 5 at TD Garden to the Milwaukee Bucks, leaving Boston on a 3-2 hole in the best -of-seven matchup. The Bucks can finish the series with a win at home, while the Celtics play for their playoff life. Khris Middleton (knee) is out for the Bucks, with Robert Williams (knee) doubtful for the Celtics.

Tipoff is at 7:30 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the 1.5-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total points Vegas says will be scored, is 211 in Bucks vs. Celtics. Before you see Celtics vs. Bucks, check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and over the past three seasons has delivered more than $10,000 in profits for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks. The model enters the fourth full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs with a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, earning over $2,100. Anyone who follows it has seen huge returns.

Now the model has his sights set on Celtics vs. Bucks and just recorded his picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can now go to SportsLine to see the model choices. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Bucks vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -1.5
  • Celtics vs. Bucks over-under: 211 points
  • Celtics vs. Bucks Money Line: Bucks -125, Celtics +105
  • BOS: The Celtics are 6-3 against the spread in playoff games
  • MIL: The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured game Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Celtics can cover

Boston out-scores Milwaukee in the series, even trailing 3-2. The Celtics have strong offensive qualities, going back to a strong offensive profile with 113.6 points per 100 possessions during the regular season. Boston is ranked #2 in the 2022 NBA playoffs by assisting on 64.8 percent of field goals, and the Celtics have a stellar postseason score of 58.1 percent.

On defense, the Celtics are undeniably elite, with a defensive rating of 103.7 in the series. Milwaukee makes only 42.4 percent of field goals and 32.4 percent of 3-point attempts in the series, and Boston provides just 20.8 assists per game in the playoffs and 19.6 assists per game for the Bucks. Boston also topped the NBA’s defensive rating during the regular season, with just 106.2 points per 100 possessions. That overall success came with balanced and elite attributes, including industry leading stats in field goal percentage allowed, 3 point allowed percentage, 2 point allowed percentage and assists allowed.

Why the Bucks can cover?

The Bucks are led by arguably the best player in the NBA in Giannis Antetokounmpo. The former NBA MVP scored 40 points to lead Milwaukee to a crucial win in Game 5 and Antetokounmpo leads the league averaging 31.3 points per game throughout the playoffs. Antetokounmpo generates 11.3 free throw attempts per game, putting pressure on opposing defenses, and he is a top defender, coming along with 13.0 rebounds and 6.6 assists per game in the playoffs. Antetokounmpo is also flanked by a dynamic two-way guard in Jrue Holiday, and a roster similar to the team that won the 2021 NBA title.

Milwaukee finished in the NBA’s top five in offensive rating this season, scoring more than 1.14 points per possession, and the Bucks were tied on 36.6 percent of 3-point shots and 54.4 percent of 2- punt shots in 2021-22. Stingy to say the least, Milwaukee leads the NBA playoffs in defensive rating, defensive rebound speed, field goal percentage allowed, and free throw allowed over a sample of two rounds.

How to choose Celtics vs. Bucks?

SportsLine’s model leans forward on the total, with 10 players expected to score more than 11 points in the simulations. The model also says that one side of the spread occurs in more than 50 percent of the simulations. You can watch the Bucks vs. Celtics Game 6 model choice only seen on SportsLine.

So who will win Celtics vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread affects in more than 50 percent of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Bucks spread you have to jump Friday, all of the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

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